Scientists say there is a very low chance that there is intelligent life out there

Scientists use the Drake equation to establish that there is a very low probability that intelligent life exists near our planet.

These days Area 51 is in the news for a 'joke' that has gotten completely out of hand. One user made the joke of creating an event for September 20 to raid the US base to see what it hides. Well, it may not be hiding anything. To measure the possibilities of extraterrestrial life there is the Drake equation.

This equation is based on eight factors that start from a generality (annual rate of optimal star formation) and discarding all the fractions that can find life. Everything has turned upside down after the results of an investigation by scientists from the University of Oxford were published in the specialized journal Royal Society of London.

Is there intelligent life on other planets?

The famous Drake equation was postulated in the 60s and has not been modified since. Above all, the problem is giving the correct number for each value. A few months ago, Robert Zurbin, a prestigious scientist, adjusted the calculations, indicating that we could have neighbors in this same galaxy.

Mostly the problem lies in the precision of the Drake equation. Accuracy is a problem, since no concrete solutions can be given to the values. This is because very few of the parameters are accurate. So much so, that there are researchers who have calculated that there will only be one civilization other than ours. Others point to less than thirty and others to about ten million civilizations. Data so variable that it was not accepted by Oxford.

One of the unknown factors is the number of stars formed each year. The fraction of stars with planets and the number of planets habitable by any type of intelligent life is also unknown. Currently, there are only estimates for these data. But for this study the numbers have been replaced by a mechanism of plausible genetics and chemistry for a range.

Scientists say we are alone

According to the researchers, there is a 53 percent to 99.6 percent chance that we are alone in the Milky Way. Data that improves if the observable universe is included. In that case the probability that we are only goes from 39 percent to 85 percent.

The Milky Way is only a small part of the observable Universe. The observable Universe, on the other hand, is only a small part of the entire existing Universe. So it seems unlikely that two intelligent civilizations coincide in the same Universe.

But there is the possibility that this data only seeks to distract us from the possible invasion of the US base. Area 51 is in the spotlight right now and maybe they want us to think that it is silly to invade it, because they don't exist. Scientists' data is also an approximation, so it is not fully testable data either. What do you think?